It was a mere two years ago that we were all talking about the return of two-party politics. For every four voters in the 2017 election, three put a cross in a box next to a Conservative or Labour candidate. In the space of 2 years UKIP had collapsed from 13% to 2% in the polls, with the Lib Dems struggling to achieve more than 8% of the popular vote.
And here we are in 2019, 2 years on from the 2017 election. This time round fewer than one in four voters chose Labour or Conservatives at the recent European election, half the proportion at the previous European elections in 2014. The Brexit Party – a party that didn’t even exist two years ago – romped home in the election, getting almost twice as many votes as any other individual party. Good results also for the string of parties usually considered to be ‘smaller’ – the previously languishing Lib Dems finished in second place, with strong performances for the Greens and nationalists in Scotland and Wales.
If a week is a long time in politics, 2 years feels like an era.
Utilising our exclusive post-election analysis of voter behaviours and attitudes, ICM have identified 6 things we have learnt from this election.
- 2019 was, finally, the year of ‘The Brexit Election’
- Both Tories and Labour were punished for being unconvincing on Brexit
- Rose-tinted European glasses: Labour remain voters see what they want to
- Even in the ‘Brexit election’, there’s still room for party loyalties
- An impressive Lib Dem performance, but how long-lived will it prove?
- Don’t underestimate the Brexit Party’s support
Download the report to find out more.