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The poll tested how people would vote in a general election tomorrow and in the scenario of Brexit being delayed beyond 31 October 2019 and a general election being held shortly after, while Britain is still a member of the EU.

The poll also tested how people would vote in a possible election, after Brexit is delayed, in which a pro-Remain ‘Alliance’ of the Liberal Democrats, the SNP, the Green Party, Plaid Cymru, and other smaller parties stood on a platform of holding a referendum on Brexit.

The full question wording for both questions is shown in the data tables.

Full data tables: ICM – Represent Us – October Voting Intentions Poll – 14 Oct 19

The poll was reported on in the The Independent and on the Represent Us website:

Brexit: Warning for Labour as poll finds voters will forgive Boris Johnson if he breaks “do or die” pledge to leave EU‘, The Independent

Labour’s Election Prospects Shrinking‘, Represent Us

ICM Unlimited interviewed a representative sample of 2,013 GB adults (18+) online between 04 and 07 October 2019. The data has been weighted to the profile of all adults aged 18+ in Great Britain and is weighted by age, gender, social grade, household tenure, work status, and region. The data is also weighted by 2017 general election vote and 2016 EU referendum vote.

A full methodological note can be found in the last sheet of the data tables file.

All polls are subject to a wide range of potential sources of error. On the basis of the historical record of the polls at recent general elections, there is a 9 in 10 chance that the true value of a party’s support lies within 4 points of the estimates provided by a poll, and a 2 in 3 chance that they lie within 2 points.

ICM is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.

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