• EU Referendum Tracker

    The first EU referendum weekly poll tracker of October shows the gap narrowing, with Remain In dropping to its lowest level (42%, down 3-points) since December 2013, when an earlier iteration of the question was used.

    This drop in support occurred during a week in which doubts emerged about the extent of possible reforms that David Cameron might be able to secure from the EU in advance of the referendum, with the PM himself refusing to rule out a Brexit if other European leaders fail to grant him the concessions he wants.

    The Leave campaign(s) (38%) are not the primary beneficiaries, however, with DK (20%) picking up the full 3-points instead.

    After DKs are excluded from the calculation, the race is tightly locked at 52% for Remain In, and 48% for Leave.